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Saturday, May 10, 2003
5:22 PM
I am by no means an expert on Iraqi Kurdistan. I have studied it a bit, but some of this stuff is controversial and I still have much to learn. I checked with my historian friend Andrew Apostolou (a very kind and helpful person) at the Foundation for Defense of Democracies, and he said Dr. Barham Salih "was internally elected, although he was nominated by Jalal Talabani." I asked if he knew anything about the Iraqi Liberal Democratic Party, and he didn't know either. He said "The Iraqi political scene is very crowded now. Things will settle down soon. It is sexy to be a liberal and a democrat." This is the fog of peace, but I'll report it as best I can. It's hard enough to get this right if you're in Baghdad, and even harder if you're in Portland.
4:59 PM
The stock of foreign policy optimists is way up. Friday, May 09, 2003
2:40 AM
2:28 AM
Thursday, May 08, 2003
8:07 PM
7:30 PM
First of all, I am only vaguely aware of what my state flag looks like. And I'll bet you I have a more concrete picture in my head than most Oregonians. If we get a new flag, no one will care. The governor will not urge calm. Then again, we don't have a tradition of lynching and slavery that we're supposed to be proud of. We're proud of our beaches, our trees, and our smart urban planning. And what's this business with calling a Southern Republican Stalin? I thought Bush was Hitler and the Democrats were supposed to be Stalinists.
1:42 PM
9:06 AM
Victor Davis Hanson had a great solution to this problem a few months back. Replace the word "but" in your thinking with "therefore" and you'll get your act together. Everyone agrees Saddam is a terrible dictator, therefore...
1:26 AM
Read the rest, and buy it.
12:53 AM
Sigh. Well, I'm left of Condi Rice and I still have it together. Matt Welch seems to be in one piece, and Christopher Hitchens is doing better than ever. Some of our friends need an intervention.
12:35 AM
Wednesday, May 07, 2003
8:28 PM
This is exactly right. And this is exactly what has already been achieved in the Kurdish region of Northern Iraq. The Kurds built the software, as Friedman puts it, for stable liberal democracy. They did it all on their own. No foreign power occupied the region. It was protected from Saddam's regime by a no-fly (and no-drive) zone, but the Kurds made their own bed. They built democratic insitutions without being told to do so by anybody. It was messy; think Russian democratization rather than Czech democratization. Nevertheless, groping toward democracy was the natural thing for the Kurds to do once left alone by Saddam. The proof is in the history. This, more than anything else, gives me hope for the rest of Iraq. If the Kurds had created Islamic theocracy, as they could have had they wanted to, I would be very very worried right now. I wonder if it has occurred to anyone in the Administration to push for a Kurd to lead the interim government. Dr. Barham Salih, the Prime Minister of the Patriotic Union of Kurdistan, would make an excellent choice. He is an Iraqi patriot, a liberal democrat, a serious human rights advocate, and he's the only person in Iraq who has already won a popular election. You can read an interview with him from early last year here. He is a good man, perhaps the best in that country. Read the interview and find out why.
11:19 AM
The piece is best read with this in mind. Monday, May 05, 2003
11:18 PM
These two phenomena are, I think, very closely related. Those bored with foreign countries generally are less likely to study international politics and history. Liberals think of themselves as more worldly than conservatives. This is true in some ways, but not so in others. It seems (to me) that liberals are more likely to travel, and are more likely to visit Third World countries in particular. (If you meet an American traveler in, say, Guatemala, odds are strongly against that person being a Republican.) Liberals are more likely to listen to “world music,” and are more likely to watch foreign films. Liberals are more likely than conservatives to study the negative consequences of American foreign policy. But that’s about it. If you want to find a person who knows the history of pre-war Nazi Germany, the Middle East during the Cold War, or the partition of India and Pakistan, you’re better off looking to the right than to the left. I am astonished and dismayed to discover this. I’m a life-long liberal and I devour history like food. Not until after September 11 did I learn I’m a minority on the left. This is a broad generalization and there are, of course, lots of exceptions. The New Republic and Dissent both publish excellent analyses of international relations and foreign policy. You can learn a lot about history and current events abroad by reading these magazines. And it isn’t all filtered through a partisan lens. But look at other left magazines like The Nation. Foreign policy is unmentioned except as an excuse to whack the Bush Administration. Read The Weekly Standard and National Review and you can easily find articles about, say, China or Iran. Many of these articles could easily have appeared in The Nation or other left magazines, and yet they didn’t. Presumably the editors are bored with the subject, or their writers don’t know enough to write about it. It’s easy to find writers on both the left and the right who lack historical knowledge. But I find this far more often on the left. This is not a partisan point I’m making. I’ve been on the left forever, and I have no reason whatever to shill for the right. Look at my links on the left panel. I included a list of what I call “good conservatives.” I did this for one reason only, the same reason I read them myself in the first place. I learn more about world history from them than I learn from the left. I have little interest in what National Review says about labor unions, taxes, abortion, the death penalty, or the environment. I read those articles occasionally because I need balance, and sometimes the magazine makes good points. But I rarely agree as a whole no matter how well-written the article. The pieces on Iraq, though, are indispensable. The Nation has nothing informed or accurate to say on that subject. Its writers usually ignore it completely. And because they ignore it, because they don’t study it, when they do pipe up they tend to get everything wrong. Why are liberal intellectuals less interested in the history of foreign countries than conservatives are? I have never heard anyone ask this question, and I wonder if others even notice the problem. Maybe they do, but until recently I hadn’t noticed, and I assure you the left hasn’t noticed. I’m not talking about who is right and who is wrong about history. I’m talking here about who is even interested in the first place. I‘ve pondered this for a while now, and I think I have part of the answer. Liberals are builders and conservatives are defenders. Liberals want to build a good and just society. Conservatives defend what is already built and established. This is what the left and the right are for. What draws a person to one or the other is more a matter of personality than anything else. The first priority of builders is the immediate surrounding environment, starting with the home and moving outward from there. Next is the community, followed by the city, the region, and the nation. The other side of the world is the lowest of all priorities. “Think globally” but “act locally” is a bumper sticker for the left. That we shouldn’t meddle in other countries if our own needs work is also a liberal idea. It partly explains why Tom Daschle focused on prescription pills for old people in war time. Defenders, unlike builders, are on the lookout for threats. This is what conservatism is for. In the absence of civil war or revolution, threats exist abroad. Canada isn’t a problem, and Mexico isn’t really either. The biggest threats are on the other side of the world. Conservatives don’t write about China and Iran because they’re into Taoism or because they swooned at the Persian film festival. The interest is there because these countries are dangerous. Conservatives are more likely to study pre-war Nazi Germany because they’re watching out for a repeat. The right side of the blogosphere laughed uproariously when anti-war protesters carried placards that said “Peace In Our Time.” The left just didn’t get the reference. It’s not that the left is stupid. Rather, because liberals are builders not defenders, liberal intellectuals focus on internal problems rather than threats from outside. I think this explains other phenomena, too. In other pieces I’ve noted an annoying equivalence between the far-left and far-right. The far-left says Republicans are Nazis. And the far-right says Democrats are socialists or even Communists. It’s an annoying habit for people on the margins, but the reason it happens is very different for each side. Radical leftists think the Bush Administration is like the Nazi Party for one specific reason. They haven’t studied the rise of the Nazis. They truly believe the comparison is apt not because they misunderstand Republicans, but because they misunderstand Hitler. Far-right conservatives have the opposite problem. They understand Lenin perfectly well. It’s the Democrats they don’t understand. A hyper awareness of threats leads to hallucinations of banshees in the bushes. Joseph McCarthy had a deep understanding of Communism. And he did find some Communist spies. But he saw the tentacles of Communism everywhere, whether there were adequate grounds for it or not. An anonymous radical leftist at Indymedia recently posted something to this effect: If Iraqis hate life under Saddam, just wait until they find out what it’s like to live under George W. Bush. This is paranoid like McCarthyism, but the cause is quite different. This person knows very well what it’s like to live “under” George W. Bush. He lives in America. What he doesn’t understand, very unlike Joseph McCarthy, is what it’s like to live in the other country. McCarthy knew Stalin well. The Indymedia poster knows nothing about Saddam Hussein. One of the most common criticisms of liberals lately is that Israel is held to a Middle East double-standard. Every Arab state is guilty of far worse than anything Israel has ever inflicted on Palestinians. I’ve made this criticism many times myself, but there is a defense of the left here. Liberals, as I’ve said, are builders. And Israel is inside the sphere of liberal influence. The Arab regime in Sudan enslaves black Christians. This indeed is odious. But it’s far beyond the ability of liberals to affect. A protest against Sudan would be utterly useless. The regime wouldn’t listen, and everyone knows it. So what looks like hypocrisy and a liberal double-standard is partly a result of perfectly rational priorities. Conservatives are myopic in ways that look hypocritical, too. Take a look at Uzbekistan. Here is a Muslim state with a Stalinist dictator. Conservative writers hardly ever complain. The reason for this is simple: Uzbekistan helps out America. The regime is secular, and it takes out Islamists root and branch. It doesn’t pose a threat, or at least it doesn’t seem to, so the right shrugs when the left criticizes. The Uzbek regime is our “ally.” But it’s the same sort of filthy ally Saddam was when he took on the mullahs in Iran. This can be explained by “realism,” and there is a case to be made for it here. But it sure looks hypocritical, and it weakens the case on the right against other dictators. It’s a big world out there, and we can’t all study all of it. The left and the right each have their own strengths and weaknesses. It behooves us to understand and appreciate what the other side offers occasionally. Everybody needs to get out of their rut. Start small. Liberals: Read about Iran. Don’t just read about American policy there, read about Iran. Find out what happens when America isn’t looking. Conservatives: If you live in a major city, next time the Persian film festival comes to town, buy yourself a ticket. Some of the best films in the world are made in that country. The outside world is greater than the sum of its threats. UPDATE: Fellow liberal Roger L. Simon agrees and adds a good comment. UPDATE: Kieran Healy has critical comments. He says "Michael’s angle is, Conservatives are the True Cosmopolitans." That's not what I said. My point is that liberals in general are less interested in history than conservatives are. This doesn't necessarily make conservatives more cosmopolitan. Nor does it mean that historically-literate conservatives are any more likely to be right than historically-literate liberals. UPDATE: Patrick Ruffini has lots of comments. UPDATE: Joe Katzman comments and asks a question without an easy answer. UPDATE: Lots of responses to this one. Sometimes I wish I had a comments section. TR Fogey weighs in, too. UPDATE: I expected to catch flak for this, but I didn't expect it from British libertarians. Perry de Havilland at Samizdata.net likes the piece, but lands some good punches too. UPDATE: Matthew Yglesias rescues me from disparagement. UPDATE: Adam at the brand-new Karmic Inquisition has some good observations, too. UPDATE: Armed Liberal buckles under pressure and chimes in, too. I didn't pressure him, it was (apparently) self-imposed.
3:22 PM
This success may or may not be repeated everywhere else. Either way, doom and gloom stories of Iraqi anti-Americanism and Shi'ite fundamentalism are rarer by the day. Good news is easier to find, even though it's off the front page now.
3:03 PM
Might as well tape a sign to your back that says "Kick Me."
12:41 AM
This crazy thing writes poetry better than I can. That is just wrong. Ken Layne is having a blast with this.
12:16 AM
The tone of the article suggests the infighting is a bad thing. But I don't think it is. The Democratic Party is a donut. It has no center, and it needs one. The good news is there’s no party-line to toe. The Democrats are a broadly liberal party. The bad news is we can't agree what liberalism means any more. Liberalism for me is what it always has been, the definition you'll find in the dictionary. From www.dictionary.com:
This is classical liberalism, something many Republicans (but clearly not all) also believe in. I differ from them in two significant respects. For me, favoring the individual against authority goes beyond individualism in the libertarian sense, though it does include that. It also means supporting the little guy against the big guy. Sometimes the big guy is the state, other times he’s a powerful corporation. The rich are big guys, and the poor are not. I’m no socialist, I’m a liberal (see above), but my liberal sensibility is informed by the morality of the democratic left. I also have more interest in justice than tradition. Change, even radical change, is thrilling. Stability preserves defects and prohibits improvement. Most left-of-center people will agree with what I just wrote, whether they are moderate or radical. Most Republicans probably disagree. The problem with the left is now this: America is the world’s most powerful country. After the Soviet Union imploded, America became “the big guy.” This is a huge problem for left-reactionaries. If we must oppose the powerful, we must oppose America. The Democratic Party is not anti-American. Anti-American leftists, for the most part, exist outside the party. Nevertheless, many Democrats are ill at ease with American power. There is a real contradiction here that liberalism hasn’t come to grips with. For me, the resolution is easy. In the war between America and Iraq, America was the big guy and Iraq was the little guy. But this shouldn’t matter to a “little guy” liberal. Liberalism is not about empowering small states. It is about empowering individuals against those states. Saddam Hussein was Iraq’s most illiberal leader in its history. Opposing him was the only logical liberal position to take. The Democrats are divided on this question, and we’re just going to have to battle it out. It isn’t going away just because the war in Iraq is over. Those who try to dodge the issue will fail. Iraq was only one part of the terror war, and that war will continue beyond the next several elections. One side of the left will beat the other. The disunited party will have a center again. Only time, and maybe a civil war, will tell what that center will be. Sunday, May 04, 2003
5:04 PM
Indymedia has already ceased to be an effective tool for any kind of change. I doubt it was ever effective in the first place. And, really, who knows if the anti-gay Jew-hating trolls Mr. Anonymous laments are right-wing? The far left and the far right teamed up to go bowling together some time ago. I can barely tell the difference between the two any more. If you want open publishing, Mr. Anonymous, use your name and get a blog. If you're good, people will come.
4:52 PM
I should quit, too. I've quit many times, and I'll quit again soon. Hitchens is right, though. Bars without smoking are dull as board meetings.
4:46 PM
You can often tell something about a person by the vocabulary they use. We all pick up words from the people we interact with and the books we read. Be wary of anyone who speaks of Jews as a "cabal." I know of no serious person who describes groups of Jews this way. But it's a favorite among anti-Semites and conspiracy theorists. I wonder where Mr. Dalyell picked it up.
Copyright 2003 Michael J. Totten
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